Conclusion
Research suggests that it will take 15 to 20 years for the hardware required to run Grok 3 at home to be affordable under $2,500, driven by increasing VRAM capacity and decreasing costs per GB. The evidence leans toward VRAM doubling every 5 years and cost per GB halving every 5 to 10 years, with potential acceleration from AI-specific hardware. While uncertainties remain, this timeline provides a reasonable estimate for when home users might access such advanced AI capabilities locally, transforming personal computing landscapes.
Research suggests that it will take 15 to 20 years for the hardware required to run Grok 3 at home to be affordable under $2,500, driven by increasing VRAM capacity and decreasing costs per GB. The evidence leans toward VRAM doubling every 5 years and cost per GB halving every 5 to 10 years, with potential acceleration from AI-specific hardware. While uncertainties remain, this timeline provides a reasonable estimate for when home users might access such advanced AI capabilities locally, transforming personal computing landscapes.
@thefinn Great news! Let's hope grok3 doesn't start charging their users so they can keep their lead.
Saw the story the other day. Grok-3 is the new leader.