I do not think Russia and Iran are going to attack because some diplomat or politician that is not the ayatollah or guy who would direct the war gets killed. It is not a good look, but it isn't like they're face tanking tons of shit to their cabinets or necessary infrastructure. It is my beleive that they want the US & Israel committed in a war against Hezbollah. Iran is not a proxy and has internal factions that would devolve into civil war if their critical infrastructure went to shit.
Perhaps they understand too their militaries are not as capable as we are lead to believe. The physical fronts won't be in Iran, but perhaps Iran does not have the AA assets to brunt the assets the US is willing to consentrate at it. Either way they ought to strike first, but nobody wants to put the neck out without the GAE being occupied within the area. Gaza isn't enough to truly occupy the regime. I'll begin Kvetching if they let Lebanon straight be invaded fully like Gaza and do nothing.
