I just finished Aaron Clarey's newest book, "A World Without Men".
Gotta hand it to him, he does decent work. Short, fact-packed, no hard prescriptions, just a set of logically deduced options for what comes next for both sexes. And good prose.
Statisitical work like his becomes outdated as new data accumulates, but it's relevant for now and the data trends are probably good to rely on for a few years. Worth the read.
All economic data is a time series so changes over time are more relevant than more data right now.
The same book written 7 years ago would have likely drawn different conclusions.
Of the possible outcomes, he predicts a worsening of the trend of men opting out, of the gender divide getting more entrenched and of things generally going the way of South Korea as the refusal to let reality reassert itself over the equality LARP continues.
@UncleIroh @Zeb do you agree with that prediction after reading the book?
Yes, I think he has it broadly correct.
The 3 options he presents in the book, and the book itself, is mostly aimed at women and their choices. It's all theirs to lose, and on that basis they will choose the path of least resistance.
Which means more of the same societal decline, men opting out & birth rates gone to shit.
Those slides are from the book.
I don't think it will go like South Korea as America is already too far gone. It's clown world. Everything is near maxed out. And the world is becoming unstable. The upcoming period of instability will cause some reform, even if not a complete reform, back to reality.
And that might be true too. The point he makes about that, and again I largely agree, is that a "back to reality" reset would only likely occur when one or more actual catastrophes happen.
Nuclear war, hyperinflation, sudden and massive food scarcity, 2A civil war, loss of welfare, that kind of thing.
In the absence of that, a slow walking into decline is the most likely result.
I am expecting hyperinflation to some degree and resource scarcity. This is enough pain to break the delusion that there's a government daddy.
I'm also counting on women's incapability to endure new environments and figure shit out on their own. Think survivor men vs women.
Governments are tapped out and holding on by a string. The pretend game won't last another decade.
@redmaple @UncleIroh
hahaha ngl, I love your commentary. "Hyperinflation to some degree" is a hilarious concept.
This reminds me of the starcraft 2 kerrigan mission where she teaches the terrans there's no such thing as controlled environment, limited or restricted operations with the zerg as the zerglings completely take over the laboratory.
The only way to stop hyperinflation is to completely abandon the currency and default on everything.
Well inflation of 20 - 30% may not be considered technically hyperinflation, it will feel like hyperinflation. That's what I mean by hyperinflation to some degree.
And the government will gaslight the public that the inflation isn't bad. The US government will never confirm hyperinflation.
The government doesn't need to confirm hyperinflation, you would know.
There's always a magic, invisible redline that gets crossed and then no amount of gaslighting will convince even the most bluepill normie.
e.g. At the height of trhe property bubble we saw literal crack houses being sold for $1million.
Normies realized that was fucking insane and no lie could make sense of it.
Let me say high inflation then. Hyperinflation is not exactly what I mean.
@UncleIroh I have his "Bachelor Pad Economics" and it's very good.
I didn't read that one. Book of numbers was good though.
@UncleIroh
How would MORE data, specially as more men drop out of the workforce, change his conclusions?