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Guys, I would like your advice on something pretty insteresting.

My brother wants to change to a new profession. He's been a system analyst for 15 years but he forecasts (and me too, tbh) that this area will change and be reasonable reduced in the next 5-10 years.

He wants to go back to college and do medicine to become a doctor in 6 years. There's a good advantage because, since he will be a middle-aged white doctor, he will be trusted and sought by everyone (no DEI).

Is it a good idea?

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Unless you're in a special niche (e.g. fringe/experimental cancer treatment), the whole profession is gonna get rolled by AI because it's all very mechanical, you cross-reference symptoms to what the diagnostic books say and you proscribe the drug that is The Accepted Thing for these symptoms. You're not supposed to be smart, because being smart risks being second-guessed in a malpractice suit. Therefore you're far better off being an electrician.

@cjd
That's a good point, despite eletrictian nowadays do well in having the liability insurance as well. I think no one that serves the public in general should skip it.

He has thought about orthopedics, foresinc pathology and maybe cardiology, because the demand for those will very unlikely be replaced by AI - on the contrary, I also think AI will augment his skills

Plus, in a scenario where the economic crash is very bad, being a physican is alwasys very valuable - also in other countries.

AI isn't going to come for plumber or electrician jobs because they're physical enough that you'd need an entire humanoid robot to do the work, and then that's just a hell of a lot of R&D to even have something that can walk, carry tools, and climb a ladder...

A doctor that sits behind a desk and hands out prescriptions is astonishingly similar to a chat bot, which is why IMO they're the most at risk.

@Zeb If he is careful enough to be able to not get brainwashed or pressured into doing immoral things for money, I say go for it. It takes a different kind of strength of character these days.

But is he going to go into serious debt? I'm sure he considers these things. Let's be honest, though -- most people do what they want anyway, even if they know the odds are bad or if their data is incomplete.

@RoninGrey
No I suppose, the plan is to really become a doctor, open up a practice and have a relaxed work life balance. The plan is just to practice medicine on his own time, get good money and enjoy the profession.

No, no debt. He's in Italy and he still works and has reserves, it's pretty cheap - as long as you get accepted in.

He doesn't know the specialization yet, but something like orthopedics, cardiologist and forensic pathologist would be his prefered ones.

@Zeb It's a good skill set to have, no matter the scenario. The real question is, does he have the mental fortitude to go back and spend (no less than) 6 grueling years not making money and doing little more than reading books and stressing over assignments and deadlines? Or would he rather put that money into something easier that works best in the short term?

Usually, the best time to sacrifice the short term for the long term, is when things are stable and predictable.

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