Here is my monkey hunch on what's going on with Wagner in Russia, just to put it on the record in case I'm right when the dust settles.
Wagner were bought off by NATO, and there was a pre-existing plan for Wagner to launch a coup against Putin when Russia was on the backfoot.
However, with the counteroffensive failed, but the US unwilling to take the "L" on anything, they activated the Wagner coup in desperation.
They have another coup planned for Belarus if you think this is farfetched
@ButtWorldsMan Yes, his recent statements about Ukraine winning and Russia abandoning the troops can now be seen for what they were.
The Wagner Heresy was phase 2 of the counter offensive.
Purge the Heretics. Show no mercy.
@ButtWorldsMan It is unfortunate for Russia because this will allow NATO to regroup and perhaps attack the nuclear power plant as Russia is distracted.
You have to hand it to NATO for really leaning into being the bad guy.
@ButtWorldsMan I'm not pretending to have any inside information about the current situation.
I'm judging the situation based on what's been going on for a while and what makes sense.
@Tfmonkey another confirmation this wasn't a gay op and planned in advance, to the point where it was predicted to happen.