I do not think Russia and Iran are going to attack because some diplomat or politician that is not the ayatollah or guy who would direct the war gets killed. It is not a good look, but it isn't like they're face tanking tons of shit to their cabinets or necessary infrastructure. It is my beleive that they want the US & Israel committed in a war against Hezbollah. Iran is not a proxy and has internal factions that would devolve into civil war if their critical infrastructure went to shit.
I think they have Russia mop up whatever's going on in Ukraine, they sign their accord, and then they get a bigger dick. Russia should extend the nuclear umbrella I agree, but I do think they woudl rather be able to swing the conventional sword first to prevent nukes flying. The east has long been less competent than the White Man's brain so TFM may be thinking a lot more efficiently compared to their very slow crawling approach to these world ordeals. I'll invoke the eternal "We'll See."
