I think they have Russia mop up whatever's going on in Ukraine, they sign their accord, and then they get a bigger dick. Russia should extend the nuclear umbrella I agree, but I do think they woudl rather be able to swing the conventional sword first to prevent nukes flying. The east has long been less competent than the White Man's brain so TFM may be thinking a lot more efficiently compared to their very slow crawling approach to these world ordeals. I'll invoke the eternal "We'll See."